Weather warfare

Yesterday, my children asked “what’s global warming?” Mr. Bookworm launched into the NY Times-approved description of our impact on the climate. I added that, while the planet is definitely warming up, there’s still some debate about how great a contribution people are making to that change. Mr. Bookworm went ballistic, accusing me of looking outside of the NY Times for information. That might have been the end of it, but it wasn’t.

When I got home after that little kerfuffle and, for the first time that day, booted up my computer, I immediately checked out Mark Steyn’s Sunday column. Coincidentally, it was about climate change and it perfectly states my opinion about the whole thing:

The question is whether what’s happening now is just the natural give and take of the planet, as Erik the Red and my town’s early settlers understood it. Or whether it’s something so unprecedented that we need to divert vast resources to a transnational elite bureaucracy so that they can do their best to cripple the global economy and deny much of the developing world access to the healthier and longer lives that capitalism brings. To the eco-chondriacs that’s a no-brainer. As Mark Fenn of the Worldwide Fund for Nature says in the new documentary ”Mine Your Own Business”:

”In Madagascar, the indicators of quality of life are not housing. They’re not nutrition, specifically. They’re not health in a lot of cases. It’s not education. A lot of children in Fort Dauphin do not go to school because the parents don’t consider that to be important. . . . People have no jobs, but if I could put you with a family and you could count how many times in a day that that family smiles. Then I put you with a family well off, in New York or London, and you count how many times people smile. . . . You tell me who is rich and who is poor.”

Well, if smiles are the measure of quality of life, I’m Bill Gates; I’m laughing my head off. Male life expectancy in Madagascar is 52.5 years. But Mark Fenn is right: Those l’il malnourished villagers sure look awful cute dancing up and down when the big environmentalist activist flies in to shoot the fund-raising video.

If “global warming” is real and if man is responsible, why then do so many “experts” need to rely on obviously fraudulent data? The famous “hockey stick” graph showed the planet’s climate history as basically one long bungalow with the Empire State Building tacked on the end. Completely false. In evaluating industrial impact, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change used GDP estimates based on exchange rates rather than purchasing power: As a result, they assume by the year 2100 that not only South Africans but also North Koreans will have a higher per capita income than Americans. That’s why the climate-change computer models look scary. That’s how “solid” the science is: It’s predicated on the North Korean economy overtaking the United States.

Could happen. Who knows?

But that’s the point: Who knows? You could take every dime spent by every government and NGO and eco-group to investigate “climate change” and spend it on Internet porn instead, and it wouldn’t make the slightest difference to what the climate will be in 2050.

Then, when I was talking to my sister about yesterday’s interchange, I added something I never got the chance to tell Mr. Bookworm. Even if we accept as true that man is wholely responsible for climate change, and that we’re not just an irrelevant addition to the ebb and flow of the earth’s climate, any changes we make in the West still won’t matter. India, China and the rest of Asia, over the next twenty years, will add pollutants so rapidly to the climate that nothing we will do will matter — and they’ll do so without conscience about the climate because they believe it’s their day in the economic sun.

With all this in mind, I don’t believe that Stephen Harper, Canada’s current prime minister, was right when he called the Kyoto Protocol a “money sucking socialist scheme” — but that’s only because I don’t believe that some socialist brain trust gathered in a backroom on a specific Sunday in August of 1995 to dream it up. What I do believe is that the fact of global warming is being embraced as part of a paradigm that sees it as fundamentally unfair that we in the West have benefitted so greatly from the industrial and post-industrial revolution. While there’s no coherent thought aimed at bringing us down a peg to give the East a leg up, it’s not too great a leap to claim that many climate change proponents see this outcome as a beneficial by product of the entire climate change argument.

Surprisingly, my brother-in-law has already thought of this one. It turns out that, rather than being impressed by all the climate change fear-mongering, he’s coined a phrase for what he sees happening: he calls all this “weather warfare.” As I do, he also rejects the idea of a smoke-filled room conspiracy. However, also as I do, he believes that people angered at the West’s economic success see the climate change hysteria as another medium to stoke to deflate Western power.

And just to wrap this thing up, let me remind you that the elaborate clothes favored during the 16th Century were useful, not only to advertise status, but also to keep things warm. You see, that century, with its lavish, fur-trimmed clothing, came right in the beginning of the Little Ice Age. Interestingly enough, the end of that era of over the top clothing was 1800, right about the time the ice age ended and global warming began.

UPDATE:  In a beautiful example of synchronicity, Patrick examines both the egotistical ethnocentrity behind the Global Warming hysteria, as well as the faith-based quality it has.  Gerry Charlotte Phelps also reminds us that, historically, humans have done better during warm cycles than during cold.

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23 Responses

  1. It really is past time DQ broadened his horizons beyond the NY Times.

  2. To me there seems little doubt that the earth is warming, although even this is not an easy conclusion to prove.

    Consider that when George Vancouver visited Glacier Bay in July of 1794 it wasn’t a bay. It was only a wide indentation in the shore choked with floating ice and backed by a solid wall of ice. He called it Icy Strait.

    Some 80 years later, however, when John Muir explored the area in the late 1870’s, the ice had retreated 35 miles! A slab of ice 35 miles long, six miles wide and a thousand feet deep had simply disappeared! This more than a century before SUV’s! But just to keep things confusing, ice twenty-five miles west at Taylor Bay during the same period was advancing. So go figure!

    Still, I’ll buy it that the earth is warming. The most convincing evidence I’ve come across so far is that tropical diseases are now showing up in regions which previously were too cold. Incidence of malaria, for example, is creaping up the slopes of Mount Kilimanjaro, and dengue fever is being reported in areas where it formerly was unknown.

    What bothers me, however, is that the search for its causes has become so politicized. Certainly this is a question we need our best brains with the best research and analysis thay can do to answer.

    Yet instead of debating the issues fairly in open forum, we find our scientists hunkered down in bunkers lobbing op-ed grenades at one another. The discussion has migrated from the realm of scientific inquiry to the battlefield of Marxist class warfare. The truth about the causes of global warming, rather than emerging from open scientific debate, is disappearing in the smoke of a political battle. And all of us are the losers.

    By the way, one question I have not heard addressed is what temperature is “just right” for the earth? Could it be that “just right” is one or two degrees warmer than it is right now? If so, then all those folks who bought ocean-front property in the foothills of the Sierras will prove to have been the smart ones.

  3. Stepping back a minute from the ‘controversy’ of Global Warming (existence and purported causes)…I can’t help but look towards the contries that have bought into it. Time Magazine had an article in their Jan 19 issues talking about the city of Kyoto…and Japan in general. Seems they are going to have a REAL tough time meeting any of the targets.

    In fact…taking the Global Warming folks at face value…the obvious question is…who is on track to meet the goals?

    Anyone?

    I realize this sidesteps the usual debate…but among many signatories are True Believers…and I have yet to read any success stories. Even many of the progressive American cities who committed themselves in a snub to the official U.S. position are strangely silent. As we approach the beginning of the first commitment period (2008-2012) it wil be interesting to see actual results.

    My money is that we will hear ever increasing rhetoric between deniers and believers…with very little indicators pointing towards any success.

    And the ability to transfer wealth (buy carbon credits) is a shell game anyway. If the U.S. pays a dozen third world countries for their ‘credit’, their economies will improve and they will emit more carbon…lessenging their ‘worth’ during the next round.

  4. Re comment 1: It’s not DQ, it’s Mr. Bookworm — two different people. DQ is a colleague married to a delightful woman who is not me. Mr. Bookworm is a wonderful man trapped in liberal think, but I’m slowly, gently working on him.

  5. Just a note about Kurt’s comment (a good one).
    I worked for a struggling industry some years ago. Interested buyers were eyeing it during that time, but not just for its product or future potential. They wanted all the pollution credits it possessed, amassed over some years.

    Not sure how such credits worked, but, as Kurt says, I suspect the credits were about politics, business politics, rather than a cleaner environment.

  6. I should have added that certain countries will need to be ‘kept’ primitive so that their worth to industrialized countries will not dimish. If the U.S. trades credits for money with the Tiny Republic of Togo and Togo uses the money to buy power plants, DVD players, & air conditioners, their money will be subsequently lessened ans their own outpput increases. This presure to remain viable could come from without…or…within.

    Assuming, of course, that the stated goal of reducing carbon emmissions is the true goal.

    Unintended consequences…right? Sort of like the price of corn increasing to meet the ethanol demand…and making it harder for people who depend on it for sustinence to survive.

  7. Book,

    Convince Mr. Book to move to Northern Michigan or Wisconsin about now — It may convince many that Global Warming is no more than political hype.

    However the libs may concoct a story that, after all, the deep-freeze in the our North country — record lows — is really a function of Global Warming..

    Go Figure — It is all political!

    ExP(Jack)

  8. Great post! And thanks for the link.

    Gerry

  9. Weather warfare: does this mean we are in for a Weathermen revival?
    The reason that countries that are the biggest defenders of Kyoto are failing to meet their targets is because the Greenies are not too smart. They are in this for the ego trip.

  10. Re comment 1: It’s not DQ, it’s Mr. Bookworm — two different people. DQ is a colleague married to a delightful woman who is not me. Mr. Bookworm is a wonderful man trapped in liberal think, but I’m slowly, gently working on him.

    Comment by Bookworm | February 5, 2007

    JJ, you really got to keep that in mind ; )

    Keep working at him, Book. The path of the true liberal usually starts from the heart. From a large amount of compassion, that cannot in anyway support cruelty to the innocent and the weak. Demonstrate any outright act of cruelty to the true liberal, and he has no choice but to side against it, if he is honest with himself and his core beliefs.

    Solidarity with the underdog and the oppressed is oftentimes used as propaganda and mind control schemes by the powerful and the manipulative. But there still exists many kind hearted men and women who have not yet been corrupted, or who have been corrupted but have the personal will and desire to rise above the petty limitations of prior brainwashing.

    As I do, he also rejects the idea of a smoke-filled room conspiracy.

    People don’t need to be in a conspiracy to cause harm and act stupid, Book. They just need to be in a crowd. And for the weather folks, there certainly seems to be a crowd. A large crowd.

    I’ve read about this little global warming scare. And I tend to think it is due to the natural human nature (as delineated in the article) to simply want to crusade for something far far in the future. If it is in a future, then you don’t have to worry about the problems we have right now, which are imminent. Right?

    It is a way of displacing worry over the now, and put it onto the future, onto speculation. Because it is so far from now, all you can do is speculate and talk. And still have time to correct problems, no pressure. But if you were trying to solve a problem now, then you would have “urgency”, then you would have to show “results”.

    So the pressure of ignoring today’s Islamic JIhad problems and Europe’s problems, could indeed be psychologically fueling the desire to displace worries over something more harmless and long termed. It is a fear that isn’t a fear.

  11. I read The Australian on a regular basis they estimate to get in compliance it will cost$96 billion(Australian) to get into compliance. This does not factor in what the cost to the consumer will be but assuredly they will pay for this. The other interesting fact that the political battling in Australia will be on global warming,sidelining the other issues that they face.I am afraid that this will happen to us and the real issues we face will take a back seat.
    I can remember the early days of the environmentalists and how pollution would kill everything, ozone depletion would fry us,overpopulation would starve us all out,strip mining was gonna release the dogs of war,DDT was killing everything(the lack of it brought about more malaria deaths)and so on.
    The threat of doom sells.Fact gives way to fiction. Fact is scientist know so very little of how the cosmos affect this planet. Events that happened millions of years ago and a billion plus light years from us are and do cause changes to our ecosystem.Scientist are only now seeing this and the effect the suns eradicate emissions have on our orbit and climate.The fact we bob up and down in the milky way.
    Fact is they know very little and base their models more on the “doom hypothesis”. They are in fact stupid and wont admit it.

  12. Scientific apostasy. Once they had religious apostasy (still do in jihad land).

    The thing is if you could give concrete evidence, (video that is), of exploitation of individuals by the harsh toll of environmentalism and what not, you could do a lot to combat the politics of the situation.

    Otherwise, it is just money from the “gov mint”. It is impersonal. And therefore not outrageous. While the environmentalists rely upon some sort of Gaia world wide web of compassion for their support. Greed is included as well.

  13. “on global warming,sidelining the other issues that they face.I am afraid that this will happen to us and the real issues we face will take a back seat.” (Mike)

    True. And dangerous.

  14. I believe I heard on NPR one of the spokesman for the UN report on global warming state that the data includes 1300 years of tree ring climate information. This is what allows them to state man is responsible for the warming. It is absurd to base any climate conclusions on only 13 centuries of hard data. Recorded human history goes back further than that.
    The primary rule of medicine is “Do no harm.” Medical history is replete with accounts of medical decisions made on inadequate data, with the expected “medical missadventure” occurring. If we listen to and act on the cries of the environmentalists, we’ll just run to the cliff faster.
    Al

  15. I recommend Michael Crichton’s book State of Fear to all. The plot is a little out there, but the book’s main value is the rational responses to global warming theories.

    For example, as to Mt Kilmanjaro becoming warmer, that is likely due to deforestation as the slopes are developed for farming and tourism. The Kyoto Protocol, if successfully implemented, would reduce emissions by a fraction of 1%, and have no significant effect.

  16. And for comic relief, read Selywin Duke’s piece in today’s (Feb 6)
    American Thinker entitled “The Temperature Also Rises”
    Al

  17. Highlander, just to quibble a bit: what you say about Glacier Bay is absolutely correct but not necessarily proof of Global Warming – if the net temperature since the Little Ice Age was above freezing, it stands to reason that the glaciers would experience a net melting over time (although other factors such as snow pack must also be considered). That being said, the most damning evidence against human-induced global warming is that fact that other planets in our solar system appear to experience climate change in tandem with the Earth’s.

  18. And Iceland, of course, is seeing a renewal of pack ice – something they haven’t experienced in 40 years. (They aren’t real happy about the polar bears wandering the streets, either.)

  19. For some real fun, Google [2007 Record Cold] – and it’s only the beginning of February.

  20. Danny L.
    I enjoyed the comment about the “Gore Effect” after
    Googling 2007 Record Cold. I believe Prince Charles also got and award in NYC for raising worldwide awareness of climate change on one of the coldest days New York has seen.
    Your reference to climate change on other planets is the second one I’ve seen. Where are you getting your data?
    Al

  21. Hi Al:

    Here’s a good summary: http://www.heartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=17977
    If you Google [Mars global warming], you will find many more, including some counter-point articles that dispute that the evidence supports “global” warming, insisting that it only documents “regional” warming. Ok – so, let’s just call it Climate Change, shall we?

  22. Man, why does the Left always handle “disagreement” in so predictable a manner? They accuse Bush of crushing dissent… but really, the shoe fits on the other foot.

  23. Hi Danny,
    Thanks for the link to the Mars “climate change” data.
    Aww that heck with it. Let’s just call it Solar System
    warming data. The sites which try to downplay the influence of the sun on the warming of the Solar System strike me as rather thin in their arguments. but it’s almost 11 pm where I am and it’s been a long day and I am tired.
    As an almost giddily histerical aside, from an environmentico-polically correct perspective, having Duke University professors suggest that the sun may be responsible for the earth’s climate change is music to my Republican ears. If the Duke professors are correct about about the Lacross players, then they must be correct about the global climate change. If they can’t possibly be correct about the global climate change, then maybe they are not correct about the Lacross players.
    I won’t go any further because I am tired, and I’m going to get grief for this, but that marvelously accurate phrase from Greek theater applies here. Those whom the gods wish to destroy, they first make mad.
    Al

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